Sunday, December 30, 2012

Sitting on top of the Pyramid of the Moon on the Last Day on Earth


Somewhere, something incredible is waiting to be known. -Carl Sagan


I was sitting on top of the Pyramid of the Moon when nothing happened.  It was 11:11 a.m. on December 21, 2012. 

Below me, down on the ground, were two large circles of people.  One circle was directly in front of the pyramid, another was back and to the left of them.  Both had short, brown-skinned people with long black hair leading them in Spanish.  Many of them wore white clothes and red head bands.  The leader in front of me wore a full Indian headdress.  He had a partner dressed in a long yellow robe that resembled something a Buddhist monk might wear.  There was tribal music throughout, the repetitious beating of a hollow drum.  The leader danced from time to time. 

His group was talking about how we are all one.  One consciousness, one heart, and that even the mountains and rocks have hearts.  The other group bunched closely together and talked about energy coming from the center of the galaxy.  If they utilized this energy properly, they could communicate with aliens, or time travel, or whatever.

One gentleman wearing mostly white had just finished cheering about something with his group on top of the pyramid.

"A big celebration today?" I asked him as best I could in Spanish.

"It's the winter solstice," he answered, not very interested in talking to me.

"It's not the end of the world then?" 

He didn’t answer.  He instead turned away abruptly and started climbing down the steep stairs towards the ground.

Today was the day of the "Mayan Apocalypse," as the world had come to know it, the result of the Mayan long count calendar of 5,125 Gregorian years coming to an end. I didn't expect any sort of large scale destruction, but then neither did these people.  The Mayan calendar was never meant to mark the end of humans on earth.  They believed in a more metaphorical end of world.   This would be the moment that we entered into a new age and started thinking about things differently.  That our consciousnesses would be elevated.

Really, nobody else seemed to believe the world would be destroyed, except for a few radical groups.  I know this because I was asking just about everybody I met over the past year if they believed in it or not.  I never once got a "yes."  

However, many were afraid of it.  Which is why people in Russia stocked up on (vodka-included) "Meet the End of the World" kits and people in the Sichuan province in China stocked up on candles.  People in the UK bought 25-year food survival packs and sales in survival shelters in the US went way up.  Tourists flocked to the small Turkish town of Sirince, and Burgarach in southern France, which "some believe" have apocalyptic significance.  And why I was sitting on top of the Temple of the Moon.  Not because I was afraid, but because so many people were.

The Temple of the Moon is in Teotihuacan, an archaeological site close to Mexico City where giant pyramids built thousands of years ago still stand.  The two biggest pyramids are the Pyramid of the Moon and Pyramid of the Sun.  They are preserved remarkably well, and I was able to walk right up the steep stone steps with cable handrails and view the large compound of ancient ruins and the pollution of Mexico City in the distance. 

The Mayans didn't build this place, nor did they live here.  They lived in southern Mexico and central America.  Here was home to another ancient Mesomerican people, the Teotihuacanos.  But really what's the difference?  The Teotihuacanos were contemporaries of the Mayans, and the Mayan calendar was actually the product of the whole Mesoamerican region, of which there were many people.  Also, it was much easier to travel there.

There were more people than usual there that day, according to a grumpy security guard at the Pyramid of the Moon.  There were people from Germany, England and the US there.  Some of the Americans drew a concentric circle in the gravel, followed it the center, bunched together, and as a group started singing "All You Need is Love" by the Beatles.  Others walked to the top of the Pyramid of the Sun, laid down on the edge and held up crystals in either hand.

If this is what the climax of the calendar promised, then it was sorely disappointing.  This isn't what 2012 or Apocalypto hinted at, the two movies that started the Mayan 2012 phenomenon.  A bunch of new age enthusiasts chanting indigenous words back and forth and singing old hippie songs was not as exciting as mountains collapsing or hearts getting ripped out of living bodies.  Hollywood had just exploited our collective fascination with the apocalypse.

And of course it worked.  A potential apocalypse is very interesting to us.  Take this Mayan apocalypse for instance.  Even though almost nobody believed it, everybody was talking about it.  The "Mayan end of the world" became the reason anything strange ever happened, or the excuse to tolerate Barack Obama winning the election, or whatever.  Documentaries popped up on TV and on Netflix.  Mayan calendar books started selling big on Amazon.  More tourists started going to Guatemala. 

We will always be interested in apocalypse predictions because deep down, we all expect the world to end one day, but don’t know how it will happen.  No matter how illogical something sounds, there's still a little part within us that thinks, "well, maybe." But we would never believe in such a thing.  At least not publicly.  And at least not of relating to an ancient calendar that is arbitrarily reaching it's end.  Only weird people do that.

So I set out to get as close to the source as I could, to see these weird people and if what they predicted would come true.  I was on the lookout for a lot of things.  First, there was the beam of energy coming from the center of the galaxy that was supposed to elevate our consciousnesses for a short period.  Then, there were people who thought the planet Nibiru would collide with and demolish earth.  That there would be three days of darkness and other kinds of technological failures.  That Jesus might come back.  That aliens might arrive. 

Which is why I came here to Teotihuacan.  Not because I believe, but because I am interested.  And not just interested in the end of the world, but interested in why other people are interested.  

***

I first became aware of the impending apocalypse with the 2009 movie 2012,  and the 2006 movie Apocalypto. 2012 was about the mass destruction of humans and everything we built, and Apocalypto was an adventure story set within the Mayan kingdom.  They were both very successful in grossing over $760 million and  $120 million worldwide respectfully. Soon after, the jokes started.  Whenever something strange happened, Facebook and Internet forums and news and sportscasters and journalists all chocked it up to the impending Mayan apocalypse.

This wasn't the first time apocalypse talk collectively fascinated the culture.  Y2K was only a decade earlier.  There was the nuclear stand-off in the Cold War, there was WWII, the Great Depression and WWI all within recent historical memory.  Concurrently, other apocalypse-related phenomena became popular: zombie movies and video games, global warming warnings increased and multiple publications named Kid A by Radiohead the best album of the 2000's. 

Why the collective fascination on the subject?  After getting through many articles, essays, videos, books and movies, I've noticed three main themes that create apocalypse fascination.

1. Getting an answer to the end of the story

"It is human nature to wonder about the end of times and to project this date into one’s own life span,” said Dr. Steven Buser, psychiatrist and co-founder of the Asheville Jung Center.  “There have literally been hundreds of specific dates that groups of people have been convinced signified our imminent destruction. Just look at the books and films that have been produced about the apocalypse.”

These movies and books and ancient calendars give an answer to this question.  It at least momentarily satisfies our curiosity, even if we know that it's just a story.  The more and more stories we hear about it, the better a picture we have in our head about it.  Which is why there will be big destruction orgy fests like 2012, works trying to find meaning like The Road and entertaining cartoonish stories like zombies.  We can experience the violent destruction of the world, think about what humanity and our world means to us, and laugh and have fun with it.

2. Life would be so much better without all these people

As the History Channel's Life After People showed us, Earth is going to be just fine without us.  Nature and animals will "reclaim" and "take revenge" over all of our cities, monuments and structures.  Maybe if humans are stifling life, then that life should be abolished.  Maybe we should all die off.  Or maybe only the bad people.  Or maybe everybody except for me. 

In an interview on a blog, a psychologist named only "Dr. G." said Apocalypse scenarios are sometimes attractive to depressed people who don't feel they fit in the current world.  This is also true for those who don't like the current world, and feel like they could be happier in a different world.  They could survive an apocalypse can become the heroes, and can recreate the world how they want.  If life isn't so great in the current world, maybe a complete breakdown and rebuilding of the world is desirable.

3. Exercise in what to do in the extent of disaster

Zombie Squad is an actual organization that works to "educate ourselves and our community about the importance of disaster preparation.  If you are prepared for zombies, you're prepared for anything," they say on their web site.  Zombie Squad are people using actual zombie preparedness techniques to creatively think about how to prepare for an actual disaster.

This mindset has also spawned a book by Max Brooks called Zombie Survival Guide.  It is written as a scientific how-to-guide to survive a zombie apocalypse.  It gives tips on using different kinds of weapons, from handheld (hammers, axes), to flaming arrows, to the effectiveness of different kinds of guns, to even biological warfare.  It also gives tips on protecting the house and what items to store up on.  But that's the beginning.

"I believe that just because people know that a threat is out there, doesn't mean they're going to do anything to protect themselves….I think that’s human nature, to ignore a crisis…Society as a whole, they got better things to do than protect their lives, their families, their nation," Brooks said in an online interview.  In imagining the worst thing that could ever happen, catastrophe, we can more easily visualize what to do in a more realistic, smaller calamity.

***

When people believe in any of these very intently, it changes their whole life, and they become weird.  But what causes these beliefs?  Why do people decide to become "weird?"  To find the answer to this, I investigated three different groups who believe in such things:  Mayanists, Jehovah's Witnesses and preppers.

Mayans

Diego de Landa wasn't the one burning the Mayans alive, cutting off their noses, their hands, their arms, their legs or their breasts. He wasn't the one drowning them, killing their children or enslaving them. 

He was the one purporting the idea behind it.  The idea was that he and the Catholic Spanish were doing God's work with the Mayans by any means possible. He justified this by "the example from the history of the passage of the Hebrews to the land of promise, committing great cruelties by the command of God."  This is according to his own book on the subject, Yucatan Before and After the Conquest

De Landa was a Franciscan monk, writer, and a missionary.  He came to the Yucatan in 1549 to explain to idol-worshiping heretics the story of how God's son was voluntarily sacrificed so that humans wouldn't have to go to hell.  This made perfect sense to the Mayans, who did their own brand of human sacrifice.  As archaeologist David Stuart explained[1], for the Mayans, human beings were the most sacred thing on Earth.  A human sacrifice would then be the most important sacrifice.

So rumors spread that the Mayans had started crucifying their own sons (apparently children), just like the Catholic God did to His son.

This pretty much clinched it for de Landa. It became the perfect excuse to take especially harsh corrective measures against the idle-worshipping devil believers.  To stop the devil, de Landa had to destroy the devil's ideas.  Ninety-nine percent of the Mayan's writings were incinerated.

He did this because the Mayans believed in the wrong things.  But what did they believe?  Thanks to de Landa and his beliefs, we don’t really know.  However, it’s not completely his fault.

This is because the Mayans had been suddenly disappearing, and not just because of the genocide.  Many of the cities had already been abandoned for unknown reasons. Through the three periods of the Mayans, the pre-classic, the classic and the post-classic, each ended with the large scale abandonment of cities.  This is indeed a mystery from a dominate civilization that lasted for 1,500 years.  Theories suggest droughts, food shortages, natural disasters and internal political problems as the causes.  Whatever they were, this combined with the destroyed writings meant that much of what was known about the Mayans was lost.  This doesn’t leave much for archaeologists to study, or for us to learn.  To learn about the Mayans, archaeologists can read de Land's aforementioned handbook for priests and study what still remains of them.

The first thing to look at are the ruins.  The Mayans constructed some of the largest pyramids ever built, and also among the most pyramids, numbering in the hundreds.  The pyramids came from the need for the different cities to differentiate themselves.  The Mayans were never completely unified people, and competing cities and kings were very often at war with each other.  To make their cities stand out, the chiefs and kings built large pyramids to show off their power.  Using only primitive tools that lacked metal, thousands of men built larger and larger pyramids for their king.

Archaeologists next needed to figure out their hieroglyphic writing system that covered many of the ruins, the only fully developed written language of the region.  They now understand about 80% of it[2].  From this they can deduce things about their beliefs. 

Part of their beliefs included that dead ancestors would rise into the sky.  Watching the sky, then, was to watch ancient and sacred deceased heroes2.  Thus the Mayans fascination with the sky, and making astonishing feats in astronomy, such as mapping the path of the planet Venus.  They could also predict lunar cycles and eclipses.  To do all of this required a good understanding of mathematics.  They used the number zero well before anyone in Europe did.

From this came their now infamous calendar, which they used to calculate celestial events well into the future.  They set up their calendar in similar ways to our calendar, in that it started with small units that added up to larger and larger units.  And all of it was based on the activity of space.  The smallest unit was called a kin.  Twenty kin become one uinal.  Nineteen uinal are one tun, 20 tun are one kactun, 20 kactun are 1 bactun, and 13 bactuns equal one epoch.  An epoch is roughly 5,125 years, and this is what culminated on December 21.

In summary, the Mayans accomplished a lot in their long reign, yet there is still a lot we don’t know about them.  This doesn’t explain why people care about the calendar so much. To see what all the fuss was about, I visited a land of Mayan descendants in Chichicastenango, Guatemala.

The locals were gearing up for celebrating the end of the cycle and the tourists were increasing to see what will happen if the world ends.  Surprisingly, they seemed casual about the whole thing.  Watching the surviving Mayans go about life in a casual, normal way seemed to imply that the calendar wasn't going to change anything.  It seemed like just a heavily symbolic holiday.  And if they weren’t so excited about it, then why was everybody else?

***

"Here's the hand print, the left hand of a person who put it right there.  In the stone and mud right there.  You know when you put your fingers in the hand print, it makes 2,200 years evaporate," archaeologist Richard Hansen said[3]

He had discovered a shaft beneath a pyramid that had not been entered for who knows how long.  Inside on the dried brick was an indented hand print.  A live human Mayan had made it. It was a form of human connection.  Hansen was clearly emotionally affected.

I got a similar feeling at an ancient church in Chichicastenango.  Imagining the world as it once was brought upon feelings that inspired deep reflection, the excitement of mystery, and just over all awe and wonder.

It occurred to me that this was why people put such an importance on the end of the calendar.  These feelings of mystery, excitement and reverence perhaps hint at something important.  After all, this is what the new age Mayanists seem to refer to:  not tactical things, but spiritual things.  And perhaps if there's so much missing information about the Mayans, then maybe these feelings could fill in the gaps.

This appears to match the beliefs of new age Mayanists.  I use the term “Mayanists” here to describe people who find spiritual guidance from Mayan relics. One is Barbara Hand Clow, a writer who published a book in 2007 called The Mayan Time Code. This book attempts to solve the mystery of the calendar, which she says involves time acceleration. As the kins and uinals and tuns and etc. repeat, time accelerates, with the cycle completing on December 21.  These time accelerations are actually measuring biological evolution, she says, which is partly why things like technology and science have been exponentially advancing.

However, she seems to make these conclusions based on feeling and not fact.  Here are some excerpts to show as examples:

  •        “I will not spend much time on the pros and cons of scholarly disputes about Maya origins, since our interest is primarily in their Calendar. From my perspective as an indigenous person, I often differ with the opinions of archaeologists and anthropologists[4].”
  •        “If you think about it, the simultaneous global emergence of civilization in 3113 BC feels organic, as if humanity received an evolutionary signal 5,125 years ago[5].”
  •        “Once when I was rattling with my Turtle Nation rattle in the Temple of the Foliated Cross at Palenque, two arrogant archaeologists tried to interrupt me. They almost fell off the edge of the temple when invisible temple guardians pushed them![6]
From this we see that she disagrees with scientists because of her lineage, she makes conclusions based on feelings (“feels organic”) and claims to have been aware of the presence of “invisible temple guardians.”

Another example of this comes from a claimed descendant of the Mayans named Ac Tah.  He explains his reasoning In a YouTube video titled "‪Mayan explanation of what will happen on 21st December 2012‬."  At a small room in front of people in Santa Monica, he explained that the Earth would be aligned with the center of the universe.  A "cosmic ray"  would come from the center of the galaxy to hit the earth in the region stretching from the southern US to Guatemala.  This ray will elevate our consciousnesses, and we will "realize all the errors of your ways and everything that's going on in your life."

A lot of Mayanists will talk about consciousness.  Consciousness is what we think about, and what things we consider are important.  About what we feel about things.  Chasing feelings.

Did it happen?  Apparently so.  On Christmas Day, he posted this on his Facebook page:

WE DID IT!!!! WE WENT IN, TOOK THAT ENERGY , AND TRANSMITTED IT TO THE 13 PYRAMIDS IN MEXICO AND TAOS, N.M AND SANTA CRUZ, CA.
UNITY AT IT'S BEST...
NOW CONTINUE TO HOLD THIS WONDERFUL ENERGY IN OUR EARTH, DO THE MAGNETIC MOVMENTS, BE IN YOUR MOST HAPPIEST SELF.
MUCH LOVE TO ALL!
PLEASE POST YOUR PICTURES OF ALL THE BEAUTIFUL EVENTS IN THE WORLD! WE THANK YOU FOR BEING YOU!!!

Further, these people tend to be at odds with modern society.  Hand Clow did not trust modern science or politics.  Ac Tah thinks that our world needs to be improved upon, which can only come from this consciousness elevation.  Perhaps if one doesn’t like current society, then they can find answers in ancient societies that had been destroyed.

Angie, an English student of mine, told me that she believes a new era will start, and that all the bad people will go away.  Similarly, this is what Diego de Landa wanted:  the devil and his ideas must be stopped, the world must accept Christian thought and anyone who disagrees will die.

As for the rest of us, NASA offers some reassurances to cosmic alliances and December 21.  Unlike some people predicted, the planets were not aligned. There would be one alignment, of the Earth, the Sun and the center of the Milky Way Galaxy.  This, though, happens every December 21.  NASA didn’t report any unusual activity at all that day.

Yet the Mayanists are not going to listen to NASA.  The feelings are real.  The more they dwell on the feelings, the truer they are.  Anyone who disagrees is inconsequential.  We are ignorant about the Mayans enough so that unbelievable things can not always be proven unbelievable. 

The end of the current world has begun whether we believe in it or not.

…of that day and hour knoweth no man.

I was living in Mexico for maybe a week when I first met a Jehovah's Witness.  He easily spotted me in a sea of non-English speaking Mexicans and gave me a pamphlet about meetings in English.  This surprised me.  Meetings in English?  In León?  Where probably 99% of the population speaks Spanish?  But he was just the first.  As time went on, foreign English speakers would spot me, stop for a short conversation and then invite me to a meeting.  It started to become predictable--if a foreign stranger spoke to me in León, they were Jehovah's Witnesses.

They are everywhere it seems, because they have an urgency about them.  The urgency, according to their web site, is that the world will be ending soon.

The Jehovah's Witnesses have their origins with a man named Charles Taze Russell.  Influenced by William Miller, who had incorrectly prophesied the end of the world in 1844, Russell came to think that traditional Christian teachings were wrong, and started to fervently study the Bible.  From this Russell got the idea that holidays shouldn't be celebrated and that only 144,000 people would go to heaven.  He especially became interested in calculating when the end of times would occur, deciding that Christ would return in 1874.  When nobody saw Christ at that time, they decided that they had been incorrect about the manner in which He would make his return, in that he had come back invisibly which was why nobody could see Him.  In forty years, they prophesied, Gods Kingdom would be established on earth.  Needless to say, the followers were excited.

As we all know, this didn't happen in 1914.  To this, the Witnesses both then and now admit.  One would expect people to leave the church after this, and some did.  But the majority stayed on.  As the December 5 Watch Tower of that year said, "Even if the time of our change should not come within ten years, what more should we ask? Are we not a blessed, happy people? Is not our God faithful? If anyone knows anything better, let him take it. If any of you ever find anything better, we hope you will tell us. We know of nothing better nor half as good as what we have found in the Word of God."

They then moved the dates to 1915.  Then 1918.  After Russell died, Joseph Franklin Rutherford took over and set a date for 1925.  The latest prediction was in 1975.  Despite this, they are among the fastest growing churches in the US today.

This isn't exactly unusual, though.  "A Brief History of the Apocalypse" lists hundreds of failed apocalypse predictions.  The earliest doomsday caution comes from 2800 BC, in which an Assyrian clay tablet claimed we were in the "latter days."  The latest has just passed by, but never fear, the site lists 11 more that are still to come. 

Christians are especially prevalent with this.  Harold Camping predicted the rapture in 2011, Chuck Smith predicted the rapture in 1981, Edgar C. Whisenant wrote an entire book about the rapture occurring in 1988, all the way up to 2060 where Isaac Newton predicted the end of times using the Book of Daniel as reference.  This is common because the Bible mentions signs to look for to know that the end is near.  Some of them are that "nation will rise against nation and kingdom against kingdom" (Matt.24, 6-7), "there will be food shortage" (Matt.24,7-8), and "there will be great earthquakes," (Matt.24,29) among many others.

These signs are somewhat vague and could be used to argue that they are true today, which causes people to set dates and for new movements to begin.  But what happens when they don't come true?  If the prophecy comes true and proves the beliefs, then do untrue prophecies disprove the beliefs?  To the non-believers, the answer is yes.  Unfulfilled prophecies completely discredit the prophet.  But the strange thing is, most times, believers will continue to believe anyway.

To get some clarification on this, I went and talked to a Jehovah's Witness.  He was easy to find for two reasons:  1.) They are more than happy to talk to anybody and 2.) I work with at least 8 of them.  I explained to them how I'm interested in end of times ideas and stumbled upon their religion in my research.  He delved right into Bible verses, showing why and what they believed was true.  His name was Scott.

Scott explained to me that everything in human history comes down to a grand experiment between human beings and God.  God is slowly proving to us that we are not very good at ruling ourselves and that we need God to do it for us.  And our time is running out, as seen from the Bible, which, as he explained to me, is a very prophetic book.  It has made very specific prophecies that have come true.  The three big ones are these:  1.)  The fall of Babylon and how no one would ever live there again (Isaiah 45) 2.) The fall of Tyre (Ezekiel 26) and 3.) the destruction of Jerusalem (Daniel 9 and several other passages).  These came true, and so whatever else the Bible predicts for the end of times must then also come true.

He showed me the signs that must happen for the world to end.  How there will be war, pestilence, food shortages and earthquakes.  He concedes that yes, these things have been happening since forever.  However, according to him, they have not been happening in this high of a concentration any time before in history.  Also, people are too caught up in their daily lives, "as in the days of Noah," he told me, which is another sign of the times.  This is all saying that Armageddon will come soon, where the wicked will be destroyed and the meek will soon inherit the earth.  And God (Jehovah) is warning us about this through his witnesses, the Jehovah's Witnesses.

About the 1914 prediction, Scott didn't deny it happened.  As he told me, it's a published fact.  He also didn't deny the 1975 prediction, but claimed not to have heard of 1915, 1918 and 1925.  To account for Russell's lack in judgment, Scott again brought out Bible verses.  He pointed out how even Jesus' disciples, people who "should know the scriptures better than anybody," looked "to the fulfillment of prophecy ahead of God's timetable," as the January 1, 2013 issue of Watchtower pointed out., as per Luke 19:11. 

He explained through metaphor, as he did quite a bit, how if a lookout for a city saw some smoke in the distance that people would want him/her to inform us rather than just assume it was nothing.  And how sometimes there are some "overzealous" believers who want the Kingdom of God so badly to come that they predict it without thinking about it.

He also pointed me to a passage in one of their books for conversions, What Does the Bible Really Teach?, that discusses 1914 as an important year anyway.  Through careful mathematical calculations using calendars and Biblical number theory (three and a half times is equal to 1,260 days and a day for a year) they can deduce that 1914 was marking the kick off of all the concentrated war, famine, earthquakes and pestilences.  To them, the false prophesy did not prove their religion wrong.

***

Leon Festinger was a psychologist who one day read in the newspaper that a woman was in contact with aliens.  The aliens told her of the impending end of the world.  The date was (coincidentally) December 21.  She attracted followers, including Festinger who infiltrated the group to see what would happen when the prophecy didn't come true. 

When the world didn't come to an end, the followers became distraught.  Why didn't the world end?  They were so sure!  But it was then that the leader received a new message from the aliens:  that the world had been spared due the "force of good and light," coming from the group members.  And the followers believed it.  Instead of abandoning the lady in light of evidence that most likely proved her false, they redoubled their efforts and became even more fervent about spreading the word.

From this, Festinger developed his theory of cognitive dissonance.  When a strong and deep-held belief comes into conflict with conflicting evidence, this causes discomfort.   The brain tries to reduce this discomfort in one of three ways:  they can change their beliefs, acquire new information to strengthen their original belief, or to dismiss the conflicting information altogether.  Which is why people will continue to believe things even if they learn they are not true.  As Festinger said in his book:  "A man with a conviction is a hard man to change. Tell him you disagree and he turns away. Show him facts or figures and he questions your sources. Appeal to logic and he fails to see your point." 

Festinger noted that the following characteristics are necessary to believe something in the face of conflicting evidence:

1. The belief must be held with deep conviction and be relevant to the believer's actions or behavior.
2. The belief must have produced actions that are difficult to undo.
3. The belief must be sufficiently specific and concerned with the real world such that it can be clearly disconfirmed.
4. The disconfirmatory evidence must be recognized by the believer.
5. The believer must have social support from other believers.

To compensate for the 1914 lapse, the Jehovah's Witnesses acquired new information to strengthen their original beliefs.  They said that a person on the watchtower should report anything they see, that even Jesus disciples made this mistake, that 1914 was a significant year anyway, etc.  The five characteristics fit them very well, and it also explains why it is they have grown greatly in numbers since these times.

It doesn't matter if beliefs are "right" or "wrong."  People are going to believe them anyway.

Insurance policies

"I would say we have an excess of 50,000 pounds of food," said Paul Range, a 63 year-old veteran living on the outskirts of San Antonio. 

This is where he lives on the "Range compound," a.k.a. his house, which is built out of nine 40 foot steel shipping containers that can carry 58,000 pounds each.  For power are wind and solar generators.  For gas, he harvests the methane from his pig's, goat's, chicken's and human waste.  He has stores of rifles, pistols and what appear to be automatic weapons. 

Range is worried about a polar shift affecting the earth.  He doesn't have much faith in the economy, government or food supply, and thinks that they wouldn't be maintained very well in the event of such a catastrophe.  This is why he lives the way he does.  In this way, he can take care of himself.  Self-sufficient and off the grid.   Range is a prepper.

If this sounds familiar, it's because he's been on TV, on National Geographic's "Doomsday Preppers[7]."  This show profiles preppers, people who work to be able to be self-sufficient for an extended period of time in the event of an emergency.  They aren't people who believe in some sort of vague prophecy, but people who feel that they can not depend on society for survival.  They can only depend on themselves in the event of a large scale catastrophe.

A pole shift, what Range is concerned about, is when the magnetized poles at either end of our planet suddenly switch places.  The poles, for complicated reasons, shift every few hundred thousand years or so, making north south and south north.  If this happened, electricity would be majorly disrupted for some time, and continents would move along the Earth's mantle.  There would be earthquakes and tsunamis.

Since this hasn't happened for a while, people like Range think that it is very likely to happen at any moment.  Scientists, though, disagree with a rapid pole shift, and claim that a more gradual pole shift is already taking place.

This, though, is just one of the potential catastrophes that preppers are concerned about.  Robert Brockway wrote a book about it called Everything is Going to Kill Everybody - The Terrifyingly Real Ways the World Wants you Dead.  It lists many ways horrible catastrophe could befall us, such as meteor crashes, supervolcanos, megatsunamis and hypercanes. 

The scary thing is that these aren't impossible.  A meteor just missed Earth this past year, and, according to Brockway, there are at least 5,000 asteroids dangerously close to Earth.  A supervolcano, which can disperse a mass of magma equivalent to the size of small country, is currently making movements in Yosemite National Park.  Megatsunamis could take out entire cities, and hypercanes can take out the entire world.  And are possible.

However possible they are, though, they are also very unlikely. This is why other preppers are often more concerned about something even more untrustworthy:  people.  They fear overpopulation could exceed the carrying capacity.  That the world economy is too tenuous to trust, or that oil might run out soon. 

Despite these fears, to spend the majority of one's free time prepping as Range seems excessive.  These people seem a bit crazy to think a post-apocalyptic world could erupt overnight.  But as Dave Chappelle said, "The worst thing to call someone is crazy.  It's dismissive.  I don't understand this person, so they're crazy."  So to understand preppers and prepping more, I created an online poll and posted it to a prepper's forum on reddit.com.

I got 17 responses, and from them I suddenly got a very different view of preppers than what NatGeo told me. 

***

"I'm always annoyed by the constant focus on the apocalypse and end times. Sure, there are quite a few preppers who focus on that, but it really doesn't deserve all the attention it gets. This constant focus on the most unlikely scenarios turns a lot of people off prepping and leaves them vulnerable to the more mundane disasters," a user named potifar said.

They continued, "Prepping, for me at least, is much more about the everyday 'disasters.' Financial disasters, like losing my job or getting an unexpected bill, are much more likely to occur and are easily dealt with by having some food and money in store. Temporary power outages can be made much more comfortable with a little preparation. Keeping a fresh backup of my computers and phone prevents annoying data loss." 

Another user, by the name of bardwick, agreed. "(Doomsday Preppers) is a punch line with preppers.  I can't stress enough how idiotic (that show) is.  Even the participants watch the final cut and ask why they were portrayed as a nut job."

Most of them came from all around the US, but responses also came from Europe, Canada and Australia.  They had a wide variety of jobs, from patent litigator, industrial worker, student, architect and web developer.  For specific prepping, the most food stored away was enough for one year.  Most said they also have gardens, and a few mentioned certain skills, such as military training, firewood skills, and first aid training. 

Some people admitted that they spent a lot of their time prepping and that this hinders them from doing other things.  However, many mentioned that this is what they enjoy doing and are happy with it.  Others mentioned that doing anything obsessively is usually bad, and that if prepping is interfering with one's life, then they're probably doing it wrong.

Most said that they would not want an apocalypse, that there is nothing appealing about that time.  Others said some things could be good, as some seem to see a need for current society to change.  For example, one responder said that debt would be cancelled and a new monetary system would be installed, and another person was in favor of the end of the consumer cycle.  Another felt they would be vindicated, saying they would "feel that my actions matter." 

A few people come across as being mistrustful and unfavorable of the current way of life because they see a lot of features of current societal life as damaging.  Others seemed to think that maybe our society is OK, but we live in a fantasy world that everything is going to be all right forever.

"The vast majority of Americans are unprepared. I also believe that most people in third-world countries are more prepared than the average American. I don't think those people in those countries talk about being prepared which is why the apparent discrepancy appears. We live a very pampered lifestyle in the US and most people today think that what their grandparents generation did was radical. My grandparents had enough food in their basement to feed many people for years. They didn't call it prepping and didn't think it unusual. It was just a part of what they did. The question to me is why do we think that we're the normal ones? We have been living in a period of relative peace and prosperity long enough to forget that times aren't always good," user edheler said.

They make compelling points, that maybe we shouldn't expect things to always be OK.  Maybe we see things like failed end of the world predictions and overly-obsessive people on Doomsday Preppers and think that any belief on catastrophes is "crazy" and not worth the time. 

Some of the catastrophic scenarios listed above seem unrealistic, but then there are actual catastrophes that have happened.  The Great Recession is still lingering.  The Great Depression wasn't even 100 years ago.  Greece and much of Europe are in difficult economic straits.  Hurricanes Rita and Katrina.  Tsunamis in Japan.  Earthquakes in South America.  

"Doomsday Preppers" often has the subjects respond to accusations of being called crazy.  Evidently, this is a question on most people's minds.  We think they're crazy, because we want them to be crazy.  We want them to be the Mayanists.  We want them to be the failed Jesus-return prophecy.  What they're saying implies a complete change of lifestyle and world.  That is hard to comprehend.

This will always be a common response to any proposed disaster scenario.  The majority of climate change scientists say climate change is real, yet at a U.N. Climate Summit on November 12, the US "resisted calls for deeper emissions cuts." Investigative reporter Michael Ruppert is sure that we have reached Peak Oil, meaning that we are close to running out.  Giant banks are very often caught doing illegal things with large amounts of money.  Yet no big large-scale changes are coming from these warnings.

One reason is there is always information out there to contradict what the doomsayers claim.  Both sides of an issue can sound logical, and if someone isn't an expert on the issue, it can be hard to know what to believe.  Just like people will seemingly believe anything, people can find ways to not believe in anything.  Which means a lot of people just aren't going to care.

YOLO

All three of these groups believe a big change is going to happen.  A change that will effect the whole world.  A change that will cause us to live differently.  Their beliefs are related to apocalypse stories.  Apocalypse stories will always be a major element of a belief system, because apocalypse is a way that makes belief real.  And we are interested in apocalypse because we either don't like the current world, want to know what the end of the story will be, because we expect the world to one day end and want to be prepared, or all three.  Finally, we believe in such things out of spiritual fulfillment, psychological necessity, and a general sense of responsibility.  However, most of us are not going to care.

"What would you do if you knew the world was ending?"  This was another question I asked countless people over the past year.  The answers varied.  How soon would it end?  In a day?  In a month?  Certainly those would mean different decisions.  One day, and they're spending it with people they love.  One month, and they have some time to do that crazy bucket list stuff they supposedly have always been wanting to do but didn't have the motivation until their own mortality became evident.

It also depends on if only they knew or if everybody knew.  If the world ended in a month and everybody knew, they wouldn't be able to do that bucket list stuff, because the people who fly skydiving planes wouldn't be working.  If they were the only ones who knew, would they try to warn people?  Who would believe them?

What some people said is that they live everyday like their it's their last.  But is that true?  If you knew it was your last day, would you really go to work, away from your loved wife and children?  Would you go to the grocery to buy and cook dinner instead of eating at the most expensive and delicious restaurant?  I suppose what these people really mean is to not waste any days.  To treat everyday like it's important, because one day there won't be any left.  No regrets.

Most of us live as though life isn't  ending after midnight.  We save money, try to eat healthy and drive carefully.  As such, it's sometimes fun to fantasize about the world ending, because then we wouldn't have to be careful about anything anymore.  Even though we know that an apocalypse would suck.  Hence songs by Ke$ha who says she "Wants to die young," or songs by Usher that encourage us to "dance (dance) like it's the last (last) night of your life (life)."

After watching the Mayanists do their ceremonies for a couple hours, we climbed down the Pyramid of the Moon and left Teotihuacan.  We took a 40 minute bus ride into Mexico City.  I was with two other teacher friends who were interested in being tourists. 

We made it back to the bus station, where hundreds of people were getting to where they needed to be for work and Christmas.  We took the metro to an art museum, and we saw hundreds of thousands of people going about their day.  Working, eating, shopping, playing.  It was just another day in one of the largest cities in the world.  No evident change had occurred.

The only thing that we can know from all of this is that no world changing event had happened.  It was even more obvious the next day:  on December 22, everything was still here.  The world hadn't ended.  There wasn't a mass die off.  No planet collided with earth.  There weren't any supervolcano eruptions, megatsunamis, mass coronal injections, polar shifts, earthquakes or hurricanes.  The world economy didn't collapse and mass oil shortages weren't announced.  No aliens showed up, and consciousnesses weren't suddenly exploded.  Jesus didn't come back and God didn't rain down final judgments. 

Of course some people still believe in the stuff.  While it's difficult to argue against a planet not colliding with earth, the aliens could always have postponed the destruction.  It's really hard to argue against an invisible cosmic beam coming down and temporarily raising consciousnesses, though, so maybe that happened. In any case, there is one other thing we do know: this has been the biggest end of world fascination since Y2K, and it's not going to be the last. 

We can react to the end of the world in three ways:  in believing that there's meaning behind it and embracing it, by preparing to survive through it, or by ignoring it.  The end of the world is fascinating to us, which sometimes causes a few of us to believe in people or stories that claim to have the answer because we feel something and they have their own sort of logic.  We want to believe so bad, that we will continue to embrace such beliefs even if events prove us wrong.  This makes doomsayers look crazy.  This can be dangerous because it makes us think that the world will never end nor be greatly altered. It can cause us to either not believe anything could happen, or feel there is nothing we can do about it except to welcome it, because the end of all things is freeing and gives us an excuse to do whatever we want.

We're waiting for giant revelations.  For everything to make sense.  The big mistake lies in that we think it will just show up one day.  It won't. 

May I offer a replacement:  to believe that the world is never going to end.  That we will be here forever, and that we have control over how nice it is.  Let us stop with the cynicism and pessimism.  Let's stop insisting that humanity's current consciousness is awful.  That God is always going to take care of us.  That we can't trust each other.

People will believe in things not because they make sense, but because of a feeling it gives them.  The more they learn about this feeling, the more it makes sense, and soon the belief becomes real, even if there is conflicting evidence.  For some of us, the conflicting evidence becomes confusing.  It can be easier to just not believe in anything.

In Mother Night, Kurt Vonnegut wrote:  "We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be."  I would like to think that this can also apply to belief:

We are what we believe, so we must be very careful as to what we believe.

This is belief.  Nobody understands it, but we all have to do it.




[1]Dawn of the Maya, National Geographic, 2004.
[2] Lost King of the Maya.  PBS, 2001
[3] Dawn of the Maya, National Geographic, 2004.
[4] Clow, Barbara Hand (2010-04-10). The Mayan Code: Time Acceleration and Awakening the World Mind (Kindle Locations 494-496). Inner Traditions Bear & Company. Kindle Edition.
[5] Clow, Barbara Hand (2010-04-10). The Mayan Code: Time Acceleration and Awakening the World Mind (Kindle Locations 547-548). Inner Traditions Bear & Company. Kindle Edition.
[6] Clow, Barbara Hand (2010-04-10). The Mayan Code: Time Acceleration and Awakening the World Mind (Kindle Locations 597-598). Inner Traditions Bear & Company. Kindle Edition.
[7] Episode 101, "Bullets, Lots of Bullets.”  Originally aired February 7, 2012.